Use case · Macro & rates
Research for Fed and central bank markets
Rate decisions, inflation prints and official-speak. These markets resolve on precise wording, and the wording is reported first by outlets most readers never see.
What this covers. MarketClaims reads the coverage of FOMC minutes, ECB press conferences and BoJ statements in their original languages, turns it into dated claims with their sources attached, and sorts those claims for and against the market's own question. You get the reporting and the venue's settlement wording side by side, so you can judge the price yourself.
Published research on these markets
Free to read, sources attached, nothing behind a form.
What we read for these markets
The primary coverage a macro & rates question actually turns on.
FOMC, ECB, BoJ, BoE
Minutes, statements and press conferences, as reported, in the language they were reported in.
Reuters, Nikkei, Handelsblatt
The outlets that carry official wording first, often hours before an English summary exists.
Inflation and labour prints
Coverage of the releases a rate market resolves against, pinned to publication time.
Questions this research answers
Each one resolves on a stated rule. The evidence has to speak to that rule, not to the mood.
- Did the latest FOMC minutes shift the probability of a cut?The claims that mention the minutes, dated, with what each outlet actually reported.
- What did the ECB actually say versus what headlines claim?The statement as covered in German, French and English, side by side.
- Is the inflation print consistent with the market's implied path?The print as reported, against the venue's own resolution wording.
See it on a market you actually care about.
Paste any Polymarket or Kalshi URL and we will read the news behind it.
Ten free analyses. No card required. Research only, not financial advice.